01Announced
Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine
Official result: Karl Deisseroth · Peter Hegemann · Georg Nagel
- Daniel J. Drucker · Jens Juul Holst · Svetlana Mojsov
- James G. Fujimoto · David Huang · Eric A. Swanson
- Timothy A. Springer
Nobel Prize Predictions
Explore 2026 Nobel Prize predictions across all six fields: compare expert views and dated market prices, then follow the official results and the work behind each name.
2026 Nobel Prize predictions by category
02Announced
Nobel Prize in Physics
Official result: Francis Halzen
- Chihaya Adachi · Stephen R. Forrest · Mark E. Thompson
- Nicola Spaldin
- Qikun Xue
03Awaiting announcement
Nobel Prize in Chemistry
Official result:
- David L. Allara · Ralph G. Nuzzo · Jacob Sagiv
- Harry B. Gray · Jay R. Winkler
- David R. Liu
04Awaiting announcement
Nobel Prize in Literature
Official result:
05Awaiting announcement
Nobel Peace Prize
Official result:
- Mykola Kuleba · Save the Children
- Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
- Committee to Protect Journalists
- International Court of Justice · International Criminal Court
- International Space Station
06Awaiting announcement
Nobel Prize in Economics
Official result:
- Susan C. Athey · Hal R. Varian
- Michael D. Woodford
- Sidney G. Winter
Official result · 2026
Karl Deisseroth
A Stanford psychiatrist and bioengineer who helped turn light-sensitive microbial proteins into tools for controlling selected neurons. His contribution connects molecular discovery with experiments on living neural circuits.
Peter Hegemann
A researcher at Humboldt University in Berlin whose studies of light-sensing algae helped uncover channelrhodopsins. He investigated how these proteins respond to light, laying a molecular foundation for optogenetics.
Georg Nagel
A biophysicist associated with the University of Würzburg who helped show that channelrhodopsins act as light-gated ion channels. His electrophysiological experiments linked algal proteins to controllable electrical activity in other cells.
Francis Halzen
Francis Halzen is a physicist at the University of Wisconsin–Madison and IceCube's principal investigator. The 2026 Physics Prize recognizes his contributions to IceCube and the discovery of high-energy neutrinos from astrophysical sources.
How to read Nobel Prize predictions
Research recognition
Citation Laureates identifies influential research. Recognition is not a prediction of a Nobel winner in a particular year.
Expert view
An expert list may recommend who deserves a prize. It does not disclose the committee’s confidential shortlist.
Market quote
Market prices reflect the contracts being traded. Prices, activity and settlement rules matter; a listed name is not an official nominee.
Community forecast
Community forecasts reflect the participants and outcome options in that question. Missing options and participation affect interpretation.
Who will win the Nobel Prize in 2026?
Public predictions cannot reveal the committee’s decision. Scientific recognition highlights influential work, expert lists express a view, and markets record traded contracts. Compare the evidence below, then use the annual results page to check the official outcome.
Sources
NobelPrize.orgClarivatePRIOPolymarketKalshiMetaculusLiterary Hub
Research recognition, recommendations, traded prices and community forecasts answer different questions. We keep their meaning and dates visible.
Current nomination records are confidential for 50 years. An expert recommendation or a market listing does not establish an official nomination.